Popular trading strategies, researched and tested.

Every week we take a strategy traders are talking about and show the exact rules, how it did on real prices with real costs, and the version that holds up best.

One email when a new report is published. Nothing else.

From the research desk

Every result is from our own backtests on real prices. Each card says how many data feeds it ran on and when it stops working.

Buying the Dow at 08:00 UTC held up on all three feeds.

Buy US30 at 08:00 UTC with a 100-point stop and close at 16:00 UTC.

3 / 3

feeds profitable: OANDA and Dukascopy (2024–26), Capital.com (its last 1.6 years)

Profit factor 1.25–1.33, winning 31–36% of trades. Tested only on 2024–26, a strong Dow market, and not yet against random entry times. Treat it as a lead.

Held upUS302024–20263 feeds

Buy gold's pullback zones in an uptrend, aim for 10× the risk.

Buy-only order-block entries on the 4-hour chart, only above the 200-period average.

+330R

330 times the risk per trade, 2024–26 on FOREXCOM (Dukascopy +374R, OANDA +172R from 2025)

It won 22.5% of trades and once lost 34 in a row. Buying every zone in the trend did almost as well. It lost in 2021 and 2022 (one feed).

Only in one kind of marketXAUUSD 4H218 trades3 feeds

Buy the top 20 coins, sell each one when it doubles.

$500 into each of the 20 largest coins (stablecoins excluded). Sell each one the first time it doubles.

$15.0k vs $6.7–7.6k

from $10,000, depending only on the start date

Start January 2024: 13 of 20 doubled, $15.0k (just holding: $11.0k). Start January 2025: one doubled, every version $6.7–7.6k. The start date decided it.

Only in one kind of marketBinance · KuCoin · Gate3 feeds agree within ~$35exchange fees not included (2 trades per coin)2024–2026

Next on the research desk

Each one gets the full breakdown: the rules, our test on up to three data feeds, when it works, and the best version we find. Comment the one you want first on Instagram.

Opening-range breakout on the Nasdaq

Trade the break of the first 15 or 30 minutes. Which range length, which stop, and does it still work after costs?

ICT Silver Bullet

The 10–11 a.m. New York window setup. We write the rules down exactly, then test them on index futures and gold.

London breakout on gold

The Asian-session range, broken at the London open. Which hours, which filters, and how big the stop needs to be.

RSI-2 pullbacks

Buy short, sharp dips in an uptrend. One of the most-copied rules in trading, tested with real spreads.

The 9/20 EMA cross

The moving-average cross every new trader learns first. On which markets and timeframes does it actually pay?

Your strategy

Comment a strategy on any of our posts. The most requested one goes on the desk next.

How we test

The checks we run. Each card says which ones a result has been through so far.

Up to three data feeds

Prices differ between brokers, so we rerun results on up to three independent feeds. We only call a result "held up" when all three agree. Every card says how many feeds it ran on.

Real costs

Spreads, commissions and the actual bid/ask, not the mid-price a chart shows you. Plenty of strategies only work for free.

Built once, checked once

When we tune a rule, we fix it on one period and test it on a later one we never tuned on. Many ideas that look great in the first period fail in the second.

Against random entries

When a strategy has an entry signal, we test it against random entries with the same stops and targets. If random does as well, the signal isn't doing anything.

Equity, not closed trades

A strategy that holds its losers can show a perfect trade history while the account is underwater. We measure what the account was worth while trades were open, not just when they closed.

No cherry-picked windows

We report every year in the test, including the bad ones, and say what the market was doing at the time.

The full reports, and tests you ask for

Every test in full: the exact rules, trade lists, equity curves on each feed, the year-by-year breakdown, and what would have to be true for the strategy to work. Members also send us strategies to test next.

Opening soon. Join the list and you'll get the founding price.

$19 / month, founding members
  • Every full report as it's published
  • Equity curves and trade lists on every feed we ran
  • Request a strategy for us to test
  • The weekly note: what held up and what didn't

A new test every week on Instagram: @akriveiaresearch. Comment a strategy and we'll test it.